Supramax
Limited fresh activity coming to light and slow activity. Ultramax was rumored to be fixed Santos trip to the Red Sea redelivery Port
Said at USD 46,000. Ultra open Bahodopi for a trip via Indonesia to China, some said in the low USD 30,000s. From the Indian
Ocean, 58k dwt have been fixed basis delivery Richards Bay trip to Pakistan at USD 25,500 plus USD 500,000 ballast bonus. 63k
dwt open Lianyungang was heard fixed for a trip to Turkey with fertilizer at USD 19,000 for the first 65 days. 57k dwt open
Porbandar fixed for a trip via Arabian Gulf redelivery Bangladesh at USD 31,000. All in all, activity from the major loading regions
have weakened slightly the last weeks, with fewer vessels heading to the South Atlantic, North Atlantic, and the major loading
countries in Asia. Going with the above, the current week is often when the year-end correction begins.
Posts by jasko
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Danas ćemo rast, a koliko vidjet ćemo.......
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ZSE: Nagrade Atlantskoj plovidbi za najveći rast cijene dionice i prometa https://tockanai.hr/biznis/zse-nag…-prometa-54012/
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BCI 5 T/C routes 180000 27137 -5701
BPI 5 T/C routes 82500 24693 -1218
BSI 10 T/C routes 58328 27960 -91
BHSI 7 T/C routes 38200 28159 -24
BDI INDEX 2665 -267
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BCI 5 T/C routes 180000 32838 -6289
BPI 5 T/C routes 82500 25911 -1041
BSI 10 T/C routes 58328 28051 -25
BHSI 7 T/C routes 38200 28183 -35
BDI INDEX 2932 -284
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Prosjek vozarina za 10. mjesec... Supermax 38018
The content cannot be displayed because you do not have authorisation to view this content. Prosjek vozarina za 11. mjesec... Supermax 26157
The content cannot be displayed because you do not have authorisation to view this content. Prosjek vozarina za 12. mjesec.... Supermax 27270
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BCI 5 T/C routes 180000 39127 -908
BPI 5 T/C routes 82500 26952 -658
BSI 10 T/C routes 58328 28076 11
BHSI 7 T/C routes 38200 28218 -77
BDI INDEX 3216 -56
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Magnus Halvorsen: The Future For Dry Bulk
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CASDE sees record China soybean imports in 2021-22, cut in domestic output
Platts Analytics expects the Asian nation’s soybean demand to remain at all-time high levels in the upcoming marketing years on the back of robust pig herd growth.
Platts Analytics forecast China’s soybean imports in 2021-22 and 2022-23 at 102 million mt and 104 million mt, respectively. https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/casde-sees-rec…omestic-output/
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Dry Bulk and Tanker Fleet Growth Bodes Well for the Future
A low dry bulk orderbook combined with most reputable ship yards quoting slots for 2024 onwards, means that we might see deliveries slippage increasing looking forward leading fleet growth to slow well below 2% over the next two years creating a more favorable dry bulk market environment for longer”. Lalaounis said.
Lalaounis added that “looking forward, the tanker fleet growth is also expected to be limited on the back of a close to historical low orderbook of approx. 7.8% of the fleet, albeit with product tanker fleet expected to be growing at a lower pace vs crude tanker. More specifically, product tankers orderbook stands at a historical low of 6.0% of the fleet.... https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/dry-bulk-and-t…for-the-future/
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BDI 3.343
BCI 4.989
BPI 3.145
BSI 2.541
BHSI 1.572
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Supramax
Market enjoyed further push confirming expectations of last week. The BSI figures were all in green reaching yesterday closing USD
27,300 pd about USD 1,000 pd higher from a week ago. Strong demand in Atlantic for loaders in USG and ECSA pushed rates
further up. In Asia, the demand/supply was more balanced. The period activity increased, with rates improving across the borders.
Trips from Continent to USG/ECSA reporting to fix around USD 30,000 pd, like the rates from Black Sea-Med to USG. Ultramax
delivering USG fixing above USD 50,000 pd. ECSA seeing strong USD 25,000 pd plus approximately USD 1.5 mill for trips to Asia.
In the East, Supramax delivering North China fixed at USD 25,000 pd for a trip via the Russian Pacific port to China-Korea.
Australian trip paying low/mid USD 20,000 pd depends on vessels’ s delivery.The content cannot be displayed because you do not have authorisation to view this content. -
Beijing backs battered real estate sector, cape rates surge
The capesize market is in an upturn and once again spot rates are about to revisit the psychologically important 40,000 level while panamax and supramax rates remain well supported heading into the seasonally slow Q1 period, according to a new report from Breakwave Advisors. “We anticipate the next few weeks to remain relatively strong, although naturally, there will be a correction as we approach year end,” the New York-based commodity trading advisor said.
As for China, which remains the most important region when it comes to dry bulk demand, Breakwave Advisors’ baseline scenario assumes a weak demand period till Q2 next year followed by an acceleration in activity as interest rate cuts and looser monetary conditions work their way into the economy at a time when seasonally dry bulk demand also picks up. https://splash247.com/beijing-backs-…pe-rates-surge/
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EuroDry Ltd. (EDRY)
Including Q3, they are projecting earnings to be ~$53m between Q3 '21 to Q2 '22 compared to a market cap of $54m.
Cal '22 are higher than their projections. Could be below 1x earnings. http://www.eurodry.gr/files/Eurodry-Q3-2021.pdf
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BCI 5 T/C routes 180000 41324 2354
BPI 5 T/C routes 82500 29275 371
BSI 10 T/C routes 58328 27367 395
BHSI 7 T/C routes 38200 28224 144
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Supramax Jan i Feb 22 izgleda jako dobro..................
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BCI 5 T/C routes 180000 38970 874
BPI 5 T/C routes 82500 28904 750
BSI 10 T/C routes 58328 26972 231
BHSI 7 T/C routes 38200 28080 15
BDI INDEX 3235 +64
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BDI 3.235 svi indexi UP
BCI 4.699
BPI 3.212
BSI 2.452
BHSI 1.560
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OBAVIJEST KLIJENTIMA – POČETAK RADA SKDD-CCP-a (VAŽNO!)
Nakon višegodišnjih priprema Hrvatska agencija za nadzor financijskih usluga (HANFA) donijela je odluku o izdavanju odobrenja za rad društvu SKDD-CCP Smart Clear d.d. (SKDD-CCP) za pružanje usluga središnje druge ugovorne strane. SKDD-CCP je osnovan kako bi dosadašnji SKDD d.d. na njega prenio poslove poravnanja transakcija financijskih instrumenata, u svojstvu središnje druge ugovorne strane (CCP). Prije nego što je SKDD d.d. prenio poslove poravnanja na SKDD-CCP, namiru je garantirao isključivo sredstvima članova sudionika u jamstvenom fondu, dok SKDD-CCP, između ostalog, garantira i svojom imovinom.
Sustav SKDD-CCP-ja razlikuje tri vrste klijenata:
1. Kućni klijent (za imovinu investicijskog društva); 2. Zajednički (omnibus) klijent (za klijente investicijskog društva gdje pripadate i Vi) i 3. Izdvojeni klijent (za klijenta investicijskog društva, gdje možete pripadati i Vi)
Za klijente investicijskog društva i njihov odabir statusa bitno je objasniti 2. i 3. vrstu računa (klijenta).
Zajednički (Omnibus) klijent otvara se u ime investicijskog društva, a za račun ulagatelja (klijenata investicijskog društva), kod kojega se kolateral i netirane pozicije povezuju uz sve ulagatelje na Zajedničkom klijentu. Ovaj račun služi za poravnanje transakcija koje su svi ulagatelji na Zajedničkom klijentu sklopili u svoje ime i za svoj račun. Prednosti ovog računa su povećanje učinkovitosti netiranja te s tim povezano potencijalno manji zahtjevi za kolateral, te manji troškovi održavanja računa. Nedostaci su, pak, viša razina rizika (link na SKDD CCP: https://www.skdd-ccp.hr/portal/f?p=100:1 , izabrati opciju Poravnanje/Klijenti i računi) u smislu mogućnosti neispunjenja obveze drugog ulagatelja čije se pozicije vode na Zajedničkom klijentu, te mogućnost da kolateral ulagatelja može biti iskorišten za pokrivanje pozicija drugih ulagatelja na istom Zajedničkom klijentu investicijskog društva.
Izdvojeni (Individual) klijent otvara se u ime investicijskog društva, a za račun točno određenog ulagatelja (klijenta investicijskog društva), kod kojega se kolateral i netirane pozicije povezuju samo uz jednog ulagatelja. Ovaj račun služi za poravnanje transakcija koje je ulagatelj sklopio u svoje ime i za svoj račun. Prednosti ovog računa su niža razina rizika, budući da ulagatelj nije izložen riziku drugih klijenata (kolateral ulagatelja se ni u kojem slučaju ne može upotrijebiti za pokrivanje pozicija drugih ulagatelja), te zaštićenost ulagatelja od rizika investicijskog društva. Nedostaci su, pak, smanjenje učinkovitosti netiranja te s tim povezano potencijalno veći zahtjevi za kolateral, te veći troškovi održavanja računa.
Bitno je naglasiti da svaki klijent društva ima mogućnost i pravo izabrati jedan od dva opisana računa, uzeći u obzir navedene prednosti i nedostatke svakog od njih. Klijent koji se odluči za Omnibus račun neće imati nikakvih dodatnih troškova (niti obvezu osiguranja kolaterala), te neće trebati potpisivati dodatnu dokumentaciju.
Svaki klijent koji se odluči za Izdvojeni račun, za isti se mora pismeno izjasniti Društvu, sklopiti ugovor o korištenju takvog računa s Društvom i platiti naknadu u iznosu od 15.000,00 kn godišnje, uvećano za troškove održavanja računa u iznosu od 3.000,00 kn godišnje, uvećano za PDV, te samostalno osigurati kolateral (dakle kolateral su novčana sredstva ili financijski instrument kao što je državna obveznica i sl. kao osiguranje rizika za svaku transakciju koju izvršavate preko Društva).
Rok za izbor jedan od dva opisana računa je 20.12.2021. godine. Ukoliko do tada Društvo ne zaprimi odgovor, klijent će biti uvršten na Omnibus račun, uz napomenu da se u svakom trenutku može odlučiti za izbor Izdvojenog računa prema navedenim uvjetima.
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Freight futures am update
Capesize up ~4%
Panamax up ~4%